I seen pics of the blacksmith shaders a while back. Unless they changed things, which is very possible, it will be available without pre-order. I'm going to risk it out of spite.
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Your choice. I just want to say that seeing pictures of it before it was announced doesn't mean anything either because A) maybe they hadn't named the shader yet, and B) maybe Activision wanted to wait on revealing it until launch was closer. Those are both "maybes", but they are definitely plausible reasons.