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originally posted in:Secular Sevens
originally posted in: Obamacare is working
Edited by MoReCoWbELLx2x1: 4/16/2014 1:35:38 PM
7
Call me when 7 million are fully enrolled in it. Not just 7 million that have signed up. There is a BIG BIG difference than sign ups, and enrolled.
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  • [quote]After the issues with the site caused the sign-up projections to be revised down from 7 to 6 million, Obamacare went and hit 7 million exchange sign-ups anyway. The policy pretty much met its exchange sign-up targets. Are all of those plans paid for? No, but you can see on that graph that even discounting all of the plans that might not be paid for, exchange signups easily hit 7 million a few days into April, now totalling about 7.24 million.[/quote] The "BIG BIG difference" is about half a million people, and it's accounted for in the graph I posted.

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  • It's actually up to 1m. Because besides those 500K that won't pay, their is another 8% that they assume will pay. So that means they have not payed yet. Which means it's still a million under 7M. It even says only 85% has payed under it.

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  • It's based on the estimate that roughly half of the people who haven't paid will do so within a month of payment being due and that the other half won't. What you're demanding is kind of like saying that you'd refuse to believe that out of 900 pregnant women about half of them would give birth to a boy until you can see the babies' junk for yourself. I mean, you're free to reserve judgement until a month from now (Who knows, maybe only 6.9 million people will end up paying), but I really don't care if you're just doing it because you have a fear of the word 'estimate'.

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  • Edited by MoReCoWbELLx2x1: 4/16/2014 2:51:10 PM
    When your government is spending all this money, along with all the other problems it has caused. You should fear the word estimate. But that still doesn't matter, as of right now, only 6M have payed. Which is the whole point of what I said.

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  • What? No, that's absurd reasoning. Projections and estimates are very necessary tools for judging the efficacy of policy proposals and their past and current successes and failures in many, many cases. Acknowledging that they are projections and estimates doesn't prevent you from using them, even if only tentatively. And it's actually more like 6.6 or 6.7 million if you want to exclude those who are likely to pay but haven't yet, by Gaba's numbers, by the way.

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  • Except I asked for the number of people that have payed.

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  • You'd think they'd do better, considering their tactic is, "Sign up or get fined".

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