Restrictions, like bans, need time for investigation before being placed, so no, it is almost certainly not for something happened in the last couple of days alone.
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And the fact I never saw a warning?
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The warning might have come a day before like months before; its an ingame message that most people unfortunately click through without even noticing.
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So if I DID get it, no matter how long ago it was, me having a warning AT ALL on my record made it jump straight to a restriction?
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In brief, yes.
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Well shit :/ NOTE TO SELF: Time to get rid of CenturyLink