now that is jacked up xD, you would think that it would be first bag because of the guaranteed labeling. If it is rng then it should have been marked as possible, because of the possibility you may get it or not get on the bag you open xD, just imagine some poor guy with the worst luck never getting it for the entirety of the festival when it was guaranteed xD
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Superblack is from the raisin box quest, not from filling Tess Candy bags. I did it once on all three characters and got it every time from Eris Morn.