Not to troll, but your math assumes a uniform distribution of disconnects throughout the raid....which is an incorrect assumption. If we looked at the time where most of the population disconnects, the average probably sits right before crota kneeling and tails off towards earlier times. So, the probability is probably 4 or 5 orders of magnitude greater than your initial estimate. Also..... Royal flushes happen everyday on online poker sites.... Multiple times. Although they are rare for an individual, their occurrence is certain within a large enough population. In online games like this, we are constantly dealing with the law of large numbers and the behavior of the community is similar to virus evolution. Wherever you pose the selective pressure, the likelihood of finding flaws within that frame becomes almost certain because nearly every possible state exists at one time. Instead of getting mad at cheesing, try to appreciate the beauty of what we are seeing happen within these raids. I think it's remarkable, but I'm a turbo nerd.