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11/29/2014 10:04:07 AM
5
You're misunderstanding the stats. You said there was like a 16% ish chance of Voidfang any given week yes? Well then that's that, that's RNG. The fact that it HAPPENED doesn't change any of the future odds of it happening. It may be a low chance that it has happened each week, but it doesn't decrease the chance of it dropping in any future week.
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Do you even math?
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Example: You roll a six sided dice you roll a six, that is a 1/6 chance. You roll again, it is a six. You do this two more time and both times you get a six. That's (1/6)•(1/6)•(1/6)•(1/6)= SUPER LUCKY
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Btw, I'm tired so don't judge my drunk math.
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That's not how it works though. 6 sided dice, 1/6 per roll. Sure, if you roll 10 6s in a row the odds of that having happened are low, but each roll thereafter is still 1/6. It's not deterministic. It's a low chance that there HAS been this many Voidfang Vestments, but each week still had the same chance as always. What I'm saying is this doesn't prove anything. It's just a good example of how stats works.
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I know that but the odds of it happening four time in a row is just odd.
