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11/28/2014 12:21:57 PM
8
Independent events.
If I need to say more then you wouldn't understand anyways. You math is correct. The application of your theory is not.
English
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It's like flipping a coin. You could get heads ten times in a row but the next flip is still 50/50 regardless of the ten previous flips.
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They're not independent as the repeated outcome of something random has a low probability, more low the more times an outcome is repeated!
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The formula for RNG does not take into consideration past events, therefore each week there remains a 17% chance of it being the same item as the week before.
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Okay so if I flipp a coin 100 times theres a 50% chance of me getting heads all 100 times?
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Like I said, your math is accurate, but none of that matters with RNG.
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Absolutely not, but if you flip it 99 times, regardless of what the outcome of those flips were, there's still a 50% chance that you will get heads on your next flip... that's how independent events work.
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Yes i agree with that, but the stacking of outcomes decreases probability, ie: the stacking of voidfang decreases the probability that this was RNG
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So let's use your coin flipping scenario. Only we're going to flip it five times. The first four flips we're all heads. There was a 6.25% chance of that happening. My next flip has a 50% chance of being heads. Which if it happens, would have fell in line with the possibility of 3.125% chance. If I flip heads the fifth time, which had a 50% chance, you would assume I was in some way cheating the system and intentionally causing the coin to land on heads just because my previous for flips were all heads?
