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5/6/2019 2:07:47 PM
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Not really. [i]"Once you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains----however improbable----must be the truth" [/i] ---Sir Arthur Conan Doyle. We don't need to see Bungie's balance sheets....because they are very much hemmed in by the things we CAN see. 1. Bungie is a company with only one source of revenue. The Destiny franchise. The deal they made with the Chinese is still in development. They had to sell away the rights to Halo to get free from Microsoft. 2. Games like this are expensive to make and to maintain. 3. Bungie has always been strapped for both manpower and financial resources needed to support this game. They were forced to grow from a 200 person company (back in 2009) to nearly 1000 people by the time fo the Activision split. But even wtih this manpower, Activision still had to basically put TWO additional 200 man studios on RETAINER to Bungie....in order to meet this game's demands. 4. Bungie had to sell part of the IP rights to Activision in order to get Destiny 1 published.....and had to buy out Activision stake in the franchise at the time of the split. That amount was rumored to have been $165 million. So there is THAT cost, IN ADDITIOn to the lost development and marketing funds for Destiny 3...and possibly whatever new content Bungie is planning for the fall. 5. This game's player base is tiny compared to the cost and scope of its development (its why Activision left. The costs weren't justified relative to what Activision was getting back in revenue). In fact the square off between Activision's CFO and Luke Smith was that Activision was politely saying that they expected to LOSE money on Destiny for that fiscal year. A point corroborated by the fact that ATVI gave the Destiny 2 base game AWAY FOR FREE on two platforms, in an effort to seed sales of Forsaken. 6. Bungie is once again alienating its players again. Engagement numbers are back down to where they were this time last year. Player frustration levels are back up to what they were this time last year....a time when all concerned agreed that the franchise was in crisis. Conclusion? A Bungie that has always been red-lining trying to meet the demands of this game's development and maintenace....has seen its manpower resources cut by one third (loss of Vicarious Visions and High Moon). Its financial resources cut by Lord-Only-Knows how much with the loss of ATVI as publisher..... AND they will now have to assume the cost of publishing.....as lhey also have to make up for whatever funds ATVI was providing for development and maintenance. This game is IN TROUBLE. Trouble that Bungie can still possibly work their way out of....especially if they take this opportunity to change how they operate.....(and it seems Luke Smith is doing that on the human resource end).....but anyone who looks at this situation objectively can see the handwriting on the wall.
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