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originally posted in:Collective Of Knowledge
Edited by Analytical Ghost: 11/24/2015 3:16:15 PM
23

Nightfall Data Analysis

So I decided to do an In-Depth analysis on the Random Number Generated Loot in Nightfalls, which came out to be an excellent project for the Taken King, Due to the new weekly Nightfall reward-ish bounty. [spoiler]Warning, this was in HoW[/spoiler] I found the individual data from 100 nightfalls, which is roughly from around 32-35 people. I would like to give thanks to the people who gave me their nightfall rewards for this post, you know who you are. [b] The data is as shown:[/b] There are Five archetype of loot you can attain from a nightfall: Exotics Legendary Weapons Legendary Engrams Etheric Light Strange Coins You can not get legendary armor from a nightfall, this may change in TTK but likely not, Also I would like to say that exotic armor and weapons have no difference in drop chance, al though I did see a lot more weapons than armor. Taking each section of the loot I counted each of 100 drops and tallied them into each section accurately. [b]Each archetype scored as followed: [/b] Exotics: [b]38[/b] Legendaries: [b]31[/b] Strange Coins: [b]14[/b] Etheric Light: [b]12[/b] Legendary Engrams: [b]5 [/b] I then took the base number (100) and divided each number by it, Then I took this decimal and turned into a percentage. [b]This Percentage is the final drop rate chance of each archetype of loot:[/b] Exotics: [b]38%[/b] Legendary Weapons: [b]31%[/b] Strange Coins: [b]14%[/b] Etheric Light: [b]12%[/b] Legendary Engrams: [b]5%[/b] This final data shows that Exotics are the most common item from a nightfall, scoring over [i]1/3 loot drop chances[/i], meaning if you have three characters you will most likely get atleast [i]one exotic[/i]. On the other hand, legendary engrams are the rarest to get from a nightfall. With only a [i]5% Chance[/i] to get one. I hope you may be able to use this data somewhere in a video, other data post, or other things [i] Thank you[/i]

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  • It's a nice thing you're doing here, but you don't have enough input imo, 100 nightfalls isn't much! I'd suggest you do 3 threads all of them with polls, let's say "Nightfall run with character 1, 2, 3" and link them together. Would be easier, you would get more input/data, would be easier to calculate and the conclusion would be more reliable.

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