After HoW it's a different story. Many, many people who have only stayed this long because they bought the expansion pass will be done. Comet will sell no where near what the game did and expansion packs 3 and 4 will flop. For many more Destiny 2 is even off the pre order list. This game has troubles, whether you want to believe it or not. 14 million walking away from your 10yr franchise in the first 6 months is not a good sign.
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That's a lot of assumption. Its all assumption so to speak, but that's a huge assumption on your part. 3 million people still play daily 3 months after the last content drop. New or old it doesn't matter. How many people left after initial sales means nothing, bungie still has that money. Comet doesn't need to sell anywhere near launch numbers. Enough will be sold just for exclusive content. The player base will either increase or stay the same there after with spikes each following update. They don't need 17 million users. They only require a fee million player base and like so many before you talking about this game dying... It hasn't 3.2 mill daily users November. 3 million now. Its not dead and people have been using the assumption you are since launch. Its still here. They almost tripled the cost of the initial game and the framework for the next 4 updates has already been laid out. The cost to bungie is miniscule at best. Even if 2 million people buy Comet. Success. Sorry, the game isn't going anywhere. Doomsday isn't coming.